Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.147372 1.293315 1.452602 1.639668 1.853728 2.091475 2.376153
2026-01-11 0.948529 1.146745 1.380399 1.677402 2.046660 2.492926 3.076562
2026-01-18 0.806080 1.031225 1.313760 1.697128 2.208001 2.871282 3.807290
2026-01-25 0.687248 0.921122 1.230227 1.673247 2.299389 3.163911 4.467448
2026-02-01 0.582270 0.811283 1.127382 1.601879 2.307053 3.333752 4.973985
2026-02-08 0.506869 0.730669 1.051606 1.553585 2.333951 3.525989 5.533781
2026-02-15 0.450035 0.668804 0.993490 1.520596 2.374395 3.737501 6.149112
2026-02-22 0.421893 0.645760 0.989297 1.567724 2.543415 4.171083 7.196482
2026-03-01 0.390794 0.614161 0.967364 1.581998 2.657734 4.526080 8.161197
2026-03-08 0.354212 0.569681 0.919482 1.546182 2.679601 4.720400 8.858211
2026-03-15 0.322161 0.529299 0.873867 1.508146 2.691024 4.894435 9.540269
2026-03-22 0.311367 0.523485 0.885773 1.572654 2.897439 5.459344 11.101268
2026-03-29 0.295665 0.508770 0.882595 1.612962 3.070966 6.001451 12.753726
2026-04-05 0.280286 0.493226 0.876524 1.647590 3.239546 6.563216 14.573389
2026-04-12 0.264136 0.474663 0.862926 1.665843 3.377500 7.083499 16.411116
2026-04-19 0.244452 0.447583 0.830415 1.641974 3.422808 7.408180 17.845530
2026-04-26 0.221577 0.412300 0.778553 1.571877 3.357208 7.470326 18.627494
2026-05-03 0.203556 0.384860 0.739556 1.524495 3.336100 7.633263 19.711461
2026-05-10 0.188862 0.362720 0.709130 1.492151 3.345189 7.870471 21.052465
2026-05-17 0.183063 0.357964 0.713865 1.538287 3.546903 8.621733 24.039065
2026-05-24 0.174727 0.347233 0.704982 1.552258 3.671917 9.196464 26.643101
2026-05-31 0.162889 0.328170 0.676496 1.517181 3.668522 9.427640 28.235688
2026-06-07 0.151884 0.310005 0.648385 1.479931 3.654603 9.628163 29.781688